tag:blogger.com,1999:blog-3886431187196458619.post4979215761264713042..comments2024-03-12T10:25:00.985+08:00Comments on 取之有道: 套股換樓止凡http://www.blogger.com/profile/13815373715261739551noreply@blogger.comBlogger23125tag:blogger.com,1999:blog-3886431187196458619.post-31171483718932184222015-04-15T00:26:48.049+08:002015-04-15T00:26:48.049+08:00多謝資料提供,每當寫一點有關樓市的文章,總引來一些blog友攻擊,文章只分享我對樓市的看法,全無作好...多謝資料提供,每當寫一點有關樓市的文章,總引來一些blog友攻擊,文章只分享我對樓市的看法,全無作好友淡友之意,我亦不覺得有任何人可以預測後市,大家無謂爭辯一些虛無縹緲的未來,找尋值得學習的地方更好吧。<br /><br />我在你的留言中看到智慧,又學到知識。你卻在我的文章內看到垃圾,與及不知所謂的分析。你看誰較著數?看來我絕對要說聲謝謝了。止凡https://www.blogger.com/profile/13815373715261739551noreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-3886431187196458619.post-35224557384066980312015-04-15T00:04:37.040+08:002015-04-15T00:04:37.040+08:00拿了數據做了錯誤的分析, 自然下了錯誤的投資決定。自已犯錯,怨不得人,最可憐是網友信以為真,那樓主真...拿了數據做了錯誤的分析, 自然下了錯誤的投資決定。自已犯錯,怨不得人,最可憐是網友信以為真,那樓主真是累己累人 ! 住宅落成量的定義為屋宇署向該項目出發入伙紙, 並地產商賣樓的時間! 2015 - 2017年落成的私人住宅,地產商一早已經以樓花賣出,並己鎖定價格。到樓宇落成的一天,根本對樓價沒影響。反而由於 SSD 的實施,令投資者沒有意慾放盤,凍結二手供應。聽說樓主是建造業工作的工程師,那就真奇怪,樓主竟然好像看漏了這點!? 如果不一早做淡友,加按買樓投資, 相信樓主已月收 6 位數租金, 不會這麼酸友說: "我又認為今天的業主並非必定要賣樓,只是看著紙上富貴升完又跌回來,發場夢一樣。" 哈哈!酸友noreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-3886431187196458619.post-72774739030289266092015-04-14T11:54:17.909+08:002015-04-14T11:54:17.909+08:00其實沒有「走唔甩」的情況,今天業主的實力很好,樓市大跌都不要緊。其實沒有「走唔甩」的情況,今天業主的實力很好,樓市大跌都不要緊。止凡https://www.blogger.com/profile/13815373715261739551noreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-3886431187196458619.post-19220944951570144542015-04-14T11:50:05.768+08:002015-04-14T11:50:05.768+08:00"如果最後導致走唔甩的話就要為自己的行為負責任吧。"
走唔甩嘅話, 又會話政府..."如果最後導致走唔甩的話就要為自己的行為負責任吧。"<br /><br />走唔甩嘅話, 又會話政府唔啱架啦, 邊會為自己嘅行為負起責任?..放心啦... 見怪不怪鬚根爸https://www.blogger.com/profile/17822664469857247665noreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-3886431187196458619.post-3209693576909181562015-04-14T08:03:35.955+08:002015-04-14T08:03:35.955+08:00當時是有需要的,沒有特別賣股去買樓,在這裡好像也紀錄了操作過程。當時是有需要的,沒有特別賣股去買樓,在這裡好像也紀錄了操作過程。止凡https://www.blogger.com/profile/13815373715261739551noreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-3886431187196458619.post-11049172488357701912015-04-13T23:22:59.305+08:002015-04-13T23:22:59.305+08:00止凡好像都是在 08年8月買樓
也算是套股換樓?? XDD止凡好像都是在 08年8月買樓<br />也算是套股換樓?? XDDjacklihttps://www.blogger.com/profile/12071555403728742648noreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-3886431187196458619.post-60101491037020038322015-04-13T15:23:15.244+08:002015-04-13T15:23:15.244+08:00投資操作的確有博弈元素,與你講的德州撲克遊戲差不多。投資操作的確有博弈元素,與你講的德州撲克遊戲差不多。止凡https://www.blogger.com/profile/13815373715261739551noreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-3886431187196458619.post-25717707298751952862015-04-13T15:09:11.367+08:002015-04-13T15:09:11.367+08:00其實我有少少覺得依家好似玩德州撲克咁,我自己係好保守個隻,覺得自己d俾唔靚就唔落注,唔會同人搏。我唔...其實我有少少覺得依家好似玩德州撲克咁,我自己係好保守個隻,覺得自己d俾唔靚就唔落注,唔會同人搏。我唔靚既30round唔落注都好常見。但係依家嗰啲驚以後買唔到樓就衝哂去買既人,就好似見到人地牌面大都要博一博bluff下對手個種玩家...Hermanhttps://www.blogger.com/profile/14956325836357571234noreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-3886431187196458619.post-74316536734680145342015-04-13T13:24:02.056+08:002015-04-13T13:24:02.056+08:00其實以投資角度看,自覺價格不合理時,都無必要作出投資的。其實以投資角度看,自覺價格不合理時,都無必要作出投資的。止凡https://www.blogger.com/profile/13815373715261739551noreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-3886431187196458619.post-38898275378371550312015-04-13T12:47:14.479+08:002015-04-13T12:47:14.479+08:00Totally agreed. In my opinion, although property ...Totally agreed. In my opinion, although property prices might continue to increase, I prefer to stick to my logic and will not buy investment property at unreasonable prices and low return. Of course, if someone really needs a flat for self-use, it is a different story. <br />Gitana https://www.blogger.com/profile/14089370158542191757noreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-3886431187196458619.post-63312152921282943302015-04-13T08:06:15.531+08:002015-04-13T08:06:15.531+08:00這批人今天所買的,在投資者眼中都算是貴貨。記得以前就有老練的投資者說過,他們在投資上所賺的是什麼人的...這批人今天所買的,在投資者眼中都算是貴貨。記得以前就有老練的投資者說過,他們在投資上所賺的是什麼人的錢,當然就是乖乖打工的上班族,這些年青人的上一代可能是專業人士、公務員,辛苦打一世工儲下來的資金,總是在價格不理想的情況下買東西。止凡https://www.blogger.com/profile/13815373715261739551noreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-3886431187196458619.post-42522369594813702292015-04-13T08:02:04.377+08:002015-04-13T08:02:04.377+08:00業主當然可以等,買入新盤後又不賣舊有單位,這是文章尾二那段落所提出的。然而,這操作就不是在換樓,而是...業主當然可以等,買入新盤後又不賣舊有單位,這是文章尾二那段落所提出的。然而,這操作就不是在換樓,而是在樓市高位多買一間,展開物業投資了,這樣的操作真的有很多人會做嗎?我們可以看看未來日子,新增的新盤到市場後,樓市有何反應吧。止凡https://www.blogger.com/profile/13815373715261739551noreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-3886431187196458619.post-13788335013636913332015-04-13T07:57:56.867+08:002015-04-13T07:57:56.867+08:00買入新盤當然不會短時間內賣出,文章論點是現有業主買入新盤後再賣掉原有自住單位。
就算全是新上車客去...買入新盤當然不會短時間內賣出,文章論點是現有業主買入新盤後再賣掉原有自住單位。<br /><br />就算全是新上車客去買這些新盤,也代表資金流到一手樓市場,二手樓的需求都會下降,供求也較平衡些。止凡https://www.blogger.com/profile/13815373715261739551noreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-3886431187196458619.post-76852282047956430772015-04-13T07:55:16.496+08:002015-04-13T07:55:16.496+08:00相信今天所賣出來的新盤也是自住為主,但這不代表還是沒有供應,這些新盤本身就是供應,吸走大量資金,而買...相信今天所賣出來的新盤也是自住為主,但這不代表還是沒有供應,這些新盤本身就是供應,吸走大量資金,而買入這些單位的業主若需要換樓的話,又需要賣出原有物業。止凡https://www.blogger.com/profile/13815373715261739551noreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-3886431187196458619.post-53835549399752406682015-04-13T01:19:47.622+08:002015-04-13T01:19:47.622+08:00其實某程度依家係透支緊未來既購買力,
依家唔少年輕人岩岩畢業無耐又話買樓,
就由屋企人出首期,
其實...其實某程度依家係透支緊未來既購買力,<br />依家唔少年輕人岩岩畢業無耐又話買樓,<br />就由屋企人出首期,<br />其實呢批人正常係一段時間之後先有需要買樓,<br />不過見貴驚之後買唔到先仆到入場。<br />Anonymoushttps://www.blogger.com/profile/11779824770952819119noreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-3886431187196458619.post-89691820674709859732015-04-13T00:57:23.019+08:002015-04-13T00:57:23.019+08:00Thus, the flats you can buy and immediately live n...Thus, the flats you can buy and immediately live now from market is either <br />1. Full paid flats long time ago<br />2. flats release from SSD (i.e. buy before in 2012-Apr), still in mortgage if not yet fully paid..<br /><br />flats of #1 will not face any pressure to sell even interest rate increases....<br /><br />flats of #2 should be earning already 20-40%+ (2012 price vs 2015 price), they can remortgage to capitalize the face value increases, not a must to sell the flat if they want cash...<br /><br />given the consent of 0.5% to be added this year (at most), they still should be able to wait for 1-2 years even rate rises....Unknownhttps://www.blogger.com/profile/05980857410261187892noreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-3886431187196458619.post-46133638603164476222015-04-13T00:54:08.773+08:002015-04-13T00:54:08.773+08:00此留言已被作者移除。Unknownhttps://www.blogger.com/profile/05980857410261187892noreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-3886431187196458619.post-63281856028944310092015-04-13T00:43:58.061+08:002015-04-13T00:43:58.061+08:00Take an example of so call small flat of HK$4M, if...Take an example of so call small flat of HK$4M, if it is sold with the 3 years of bought, the SSD will be <br />1. within 6Month = 800k<br />2. >6 Month but within 12 month = 600k<br />3. >12 Month but within 36 month = 400k<br /><br />so the stamp duties paid is much more than enough for renting a flat for 4+ years of simular flat...and no people will do such silly actions to sell for just to pay tax to gov....<br /><br />Unknownhttps://www.blogger.com/profile/05980857410261187892noreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-3886431187196458619.post-50026665092520095782015-04-13T00:36:09.308+08:002015-04-13T00:36:09.308+08:00供應在緩緩上升<--- true, but if all new flat are just ...供應在緩緩上升<--- true, but if all new flat are just for self use (in the most extreme case), then the qty available for sell is Zero ...<br /><br />and remember SSD will lock the flat for 3 years, effectively remove it for market..<br /><br />this is just like the case for a stock that , say 70% of shares are restricted not for sales, then even the company issue new extra shares of ~5%, which have 3 year locking period, the total amount of shares it does increase, but the amount of shares you can buy in the market is still the sames...Unknownhttps://www.blogger.com/profile/05980857410261187892noreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-3886431187196458619.post-72768300915777652222015-04-13T00:20:17.078+08:002015-04-13T00:20:17.078+08:00這是樓花與交吉的時間問題,總之供應在緩緩上升著。這是樓花與交吉的時間問題,總之供應在緩緩上升著。止凡https://www.blogger.com/profile/13815373715261739551noreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-3886431187196458619.post-4948526583056943762015-04-13T00:00:16.826+08:002015-04-13T00:00:16.826+08:002015's 13290 flats completed should have all b...2015's 13290 flats completed should have all been sold in 2013-2014... so they are not available for you to buy (if all buyers are for self-use or rental)....they are only available for rent only....<br /><br />Unknownhttps://www.blogger.com/profile/05980857410261187892noreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-3886431187196458619.post-82891950402815913282015-04-12T23:45:57.572+08:002015-04-12T23:45:57.572+08:00我又認為今天的業主並非必定要賣樓,只是看著紙上富貴升完又跌回來,發場夢一樣。我又認為今天的業主並非必定要賣樓,只是看著紙上富貴升完又跌回來,發場夢一樣。止凡https://www.blogger.com/profile/13815373715261739551noreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-3886431187196458619.post-21246445897023955962015-04-12T23:21:37.484+08:002015-04-12T23:21:37.484+08:00眼看供應量增加還堅持食到盡的業主已經不算是取之有道了,如果最後導致走唔甩的話就要為自己的行為負責任吧...眼看供應量增加還堅持食到盡的業主已經不算是取之有道了,如果最後導致走唔甩的話就要為自己的行為負責任吧。塘人https://www.blogger.com/profile/04230180142137179194noreply@blogger.com